Home Blog Page 52

Money Makers & Heart Breakers (Fantasy Football 2021 – Week 4)

Michael Reedy
-
0
Money Makers & Heart Breakers (Fantasy Football 2021 – Week 4)

I have seen a lot of strange things lately like National Daughters Day and I believe I am writing this on National Sons Day. But did you know every day is National “Something” Day”, For instance this will be published on September 30th and that is National Love People Day and is also International Podcast Day among other random things.

I was writing this on National Drink Beer Day which also happens to be International Poke Day. Coincidence? I think not.

With all these random National and International days I went looking for National Fantasy Football Day only to discover that there isn’t one. We do have National Fantasy Draft Day which takes place on August 24th every year.  I did just learn that today.

With all the crazy National Days out there, today is the day I submitted for  National Fantasy Football Day with National Day Calendar, yes I want to make it an actual thing. Wish me luck.

If you are new here:

How does this work? Typically, I am not going to tell you to play anyone that is blatantly obvious. I may have to add a place where there are guys you should be playing whether I have them in here or not. If you have Patrick Mahomes, play him (unless I have him as a Heart Breaker). There will be many times I will have a big name as a Heart Breaker for DFS.  It doesn’t mean they suck, it means that week there is better value elsewhere.

Here is a brief definition of each of my terms for anyone that might be new:

💰 Money Maker – This player will perform better than expectations

💔 Heart Breaker – This player will perform lower than expectations

💰 Money Makers

Quarterbacks

Matt Ryan

Ryan has 2 games in a row with multiple touchdowns, he also threw for 300 yards against the Buccaneers in week 2. In week 4 Ryan is playing against a team that has given up an average of 315 yards and 2 touchdowns to the passing game of opponents, the Washington Football Team. Things will look good for the Falcons passing game in week 4.

$5,400 on DraftKings
$6,700 on Fanduel

Taylor Heinicke

In his two full games, Heinicki has passed for a total of 548 yards and 4 touchdown0s he also has run in another touchdown. In week 4 he will play against the Atlanta Falcons, who until they played the Giants last week were the worst team in the league against the pass. The Falcons give up an average of 268 yards and 3 touchdowns a week. Play Heinicke, stack him with Terry Mclaurin.

$5,900 on DraftKings
$7,400 on Fanduel

Sam Darnold

Darnold has multiple touchdowns in every game this season. He has thrown for over 300 yards in the past two games. In week 4 he is playing a Cowboys team that has given up an average of 347 yards and 2 touchdowns per game to quarterbacks. The good play continues. Plug Darnold in as Money Maker for week 4 and you will not regret it

$6,000 on DraftKings
$7,200 on Fanduel

Other Quarterbacks for Week 4

Jacoby Brissett

$7,600 on DraftKings
$6,500 on Fanduel

Baker Mayfield

$6,200 on DraftKings
$7,300 on Fanduel

Ben Roethlisberger

5,500 on DraftKings
$6,800 on Fanduel

Running Backs

Jonathan Taylor

Taylor has been just ok the first three weeks of the season. I yawned while reading his stats. But in week 4 he gets to play against the Miami Dolphins, the team that allowed Payton barber to rush for 111 yards against them in week 3. The Dolphins give up an average of 121 yards and a touchdown and 6 receptions for 57 yards to the running back position. You can expect both Taylor and Hines to be involved and effective in week 4.

$6,300 on DraftKings
$6,600 on Fanduel

Chris Carson

Carson is having an excellent season thus far, he has produced double digit fantasy points in each of the first three weeks. Carson is playing against the Niners in Week 4.  The Niners are the fourth friendliest defense to running backs in the league giving up 87 yards rushing and 7 receptions for 55 yards receiving to running backs through three games. Carson should take advantage here in a big way.

$6,300 on DraftKings
$7,300 on Fanduel

Zack Moss

The Texans are a bottom 10 defense against running backs. Zack Moss has scored three touchdowns in the past two weeks of play. The Bills play the Texans in week 4. Easy to pick up what I am putting down here isn’t it. Zack Moss’s coming-out party continues this week.

$5,300 on DraftKings
$6,000 on Fanduel

Other Running Backs for Week 4

Derrick Henry

$8,800 on DraftKings
$10,000 on Fanduel

Alvin Kamara

$8,400 on DraftKings
$9,000 on Fanduel

David Montgomery

$5,800 on DraftKings
$7,500 on Fanduel

Wide Receivers

Calvin Ridley

Ridley had 11 targets for 8 receptions and 61 yards in week 3. That was a 31 % target share. In week 4 Ridley gets to play against a WFT team that gives up an average of 20 receptions and 247 yards to wide receivers weekly. He is an absolute Smash play for week 4, RIDLEY.

$7,000 on DraftKings
$7,2,00 on Fanduel

Corey Davis

Davis saw a 29 % target share in week 3. He had 10 targets for 5 receptions and 41 yards. With the opportunity often comes the production and Davis is getting the Lions share of the opportunity of the Jets passing game. In week 4 he plays against a super wide receiver friendly team the Titans. The Titans are bottom 3 against the wide receiver position in fantasy giving up and average of 15 receptions for 226 yards and 2 touchdowns to wide receivers.  It sets up great in week 4 for Davis.

$5,000 on DraftKings
$5,700 on Fanduel

Odell Beckham Jr.

We got to see the return of OBJ last week. Beckham had 9 targets for 5 reception and 77 yards, he also had 1 carry for another 10 yards. Beckham had 29 % target share in that game. In week 4 the Browns will be playing against a Vikings team that gives up the 4th most fantasy points to wide receivers.

$5,800 on DraftKings
$6,600 on Fanduel

Other Wide Receivers for Week 4

Terry McLaurin

$6,900 on DraftKings
$7,100 on Fanduel

DJ Moore

$6,600 on DraftKings
$7,300 on Fanduel

Tim Patrick

$4,900 on DraftKings
$6,100 on Fanduel

Tight Ends

Dawson Knox

Knox is averaging 4 targets per game. He has a touchdown in each of the last two games. He appears to be the fourth option in the passing game for the Bills but is someone Allen is looking for in the red zone. If you are needy at TE Knox is playing against a Texans team that gives up 7 receptions and 76 yards on average to tight ends.

$3,600 on DraftKings
$5,600 on Fanduel

Logan Thomas

Thomas is consistently targeted in the WFT passing attack. Thomas has 2 touchdowns in the first three games. The WFT is playing against the Falcons in week 4. The Falcons give up an average of 5 receptions for 58 yards and are the 7th kindest defense to tight ends. Thomas is a nice upside play in week 4.

$4,900 on DraftKings
$5,800 on Fanduel

Other Tight Ends for Week 4

Noah Fant

$4,300 on DraftKings
$5,700 on Fanduel

Travis Kelce

$8,100 on DraftKings
$8,200 on Fanduel

💔 Heart Breakers

Quarterbacks

Davis Mills

Hopefully you aren’t playing him. This week the Texans play the toughest team against quarterbacks regarding fantasy production. The play the Bills. Even in 2 QB leagues I am completely out on Mills this week.

Derek Carr

Carr is having one hell of a season. IN season long I am playing him myself this week. But in DFS I am an avoid. The Chargers have been making it tough for quarterbacks to rack up fantasy points this season. I see it being a tough go for Carr as well.

Ryan Tannehill

It looked like Tannehill was making a nice come back after his week 1 debacle. But this week he runs into a Jets team that has only given up one passing touchdown so far this season. The Jets made it tough for the Teddy Bridgewater last week and will make it tough for Tannehill this week. The Jets give up the 5th fewest points to quarterbacks.

Running Backs

Ezekiel Elliott

You want to know who has looked fantastic the last two weeks. Zeke Elliott is, that’s who. You know who is playing the defense that is the toughest on running backs in week 4. Zeke Elliott is, that’s who. They give up an average of 31 yards on the ground per week. If you have him you are playing him in season long, but he is a no no in DFS.

Alexander Mattison

Mattison smashed in relief of Dalvin Cook in week 3. If he is up again in week 4 he will find the road a lot tougher as the Browns are the third stingiest team against running backs.  The Browns have not given up a touchdown to running backs yet this season.

Aaron Jones

First Zeke and now Jones Reedy? Are you just trying to be controversial? Is this contrarians nonsense to get attention? Well, um maybe. But actually no it isn’t The Packers play the Steelers in week 4. The Steelers have not given up a touchdown to a running back on the ground or via the air this season. This looks like a game where the Packers passing game will rule.

Wide Receivers

Tyreek Hill

The Eagles held this guy to 29 total yards in Week 2. The Chargers held him to 67 total yards in Week 3. In Week 4, he is playing against an Eagles team who has been the toughest on wide receivers so far in 2021. The price is too high for me in DFS, obviously, if you have him in season long you better not be sitting him.

Henry Ruggs

Ruggs has seen 7 targets in each of the last two games. The Chargers only give up an average of 11 receptions for 110 yards to the wide receiver position weekly. It looks like a week where Wallers will be heavily involved and Ruggs and Edwards not so much.

Julio Jones

Jones has had one good week out of the first 3 so far this season. Other than that he has been rather pedestrian. In Week 4 he is playing against a Jets team that gives up the 3rd fewest fantasy points to wide receivers. Jones is breaking my heart yet again.

Tight Ends

Rob Gronkowski

You know who the second toughest team is against tight ends statistically? The Patriots are. Really they have been spectacular against all three opponents’ tight ends so far this season.  The Patriots rank as the second stingiest defense to the position.  That means Gronk will find tough sledding in New England. Just Kidding. The pats haven’t face a single tight end that has been able to do anything because they were all horrible. So if you read this far I want you to tweet at me with #MMHB that you actually got to read this, because it’s a joke. Gronk is a Money Maker when he goes back to New England this week. Trust me, play him.

Tyler Higbee

I love the snap share Higbee has. He is on the field for the vast majority of offensive snaps. 100% in the first 2 weeks and 75% in week 3. I just don’t love his target share. He is consistently the 4th or 5th option in the passing game. If Henderson is back he gets bumped even lower. Unfortunately, if you thought this one was a joke, it isn’t. Sit Higbee in Week 4.

NOTE: There are legit too many Heart Breakers at this position to name them all.

The Undroppables Playbook | Episode 4

The Undroppables
-
0
The Undroppables Playbook | Episode 4

This week on The Undroppables Playbook, Ashley and Michael look at what teams might be contending versus who might be pretending, what team Ashley is ready to stick a fork in, and they talk about how this rookie QB class has fared so far.

The Stream Option (Fantasy Football 2021 – Week 4)

Derek Fuchs
-
0
The Stream Option (Fantasy Football 2021 – Week 4)

Accountability Check – Week 3 Finishes

Daniel Jones – QB20
Jared Goff – QB30
Maxx Williams – TE25
Dan Arnold – TE28
Arizona – DST1 !!!
Carolina – DST11

Well, mostly bad on the skill positions from my streamers in Week 3.  The Quarterbacks played well, but no touchdowns were the driving force behind low-end finishes.  Dan Arnold would have been good but Tommy Tremble ended up with the 30-yard catch and the rushing TD.  My Defenses were great picks however and I’ll take that.

Going into Week 4, I have done some more research and will continue to refine my process for picking streamers.  Tight Ends will continue to be a wasteland but I think we got some picks this week that will prove to be better.

Quarterbacks

Taylor Heinicke @ Atlanta Falcons

Yahoo Rostership: 6%
Opposition Rank vs QB: 4th

In the two weeks of being a starter, Taylor has finished QB12 and QB9 and has shown to be aggressive. Mike Reedy, at The Undroppables, posted in the recent Untangling the Wire article about picking him up and rightfully so.  I would only argue that he is still a streamer option instead of a weekly starter if Ryan Fitzpatrick is still coming back at some point.

We will be targeting the Atlanta Falcons once again. They still allowed 266 passing yards to Daniel Jones and that was after he lost Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton in the middle of the game to injuries.  I am hoping Arthur Smith can turn around that offense because this team will permanently be in the negative game script until further notice.

Jacoby Brissett vs. Indianapolis Colts

Yahoo Rostership: 2%
Opposition Rank vs QB: 6th

In his first start after Tua Tagovailoa’s injury, Jacoby finished as the QB12 for Week 3 in a shootout with the Las Vegas Raiders.  Sticking with his previous play, the short throws to Mike Gesicki and Jaylon Waddle certainly helped move the ball while running for 37 yards.  With another week as the starter and Will Fuller brushing off the rust, look for another high-volume game for Jacoby.

The Indianapolis Colts will do their best to get this season back on track as they viewed it in the offseason.  They will hopefully establish the run again with Miami having a weaker run defense and force Jacoby to play catchup in the second half.

Tight Ends

Pat Freiermuth @ Green Bay Packers

Yahoo Rostership: 8%
Opposition Rank vs TE: 2nd

We all saw the memes of Ben’s game in Week 3.  We saw Ju-Ju Smith-Schuster go down with an injury. With Diontae still out and Ben’s depth of target is approaching 0, look for Pat Freiermuth to step up. He caught the touchdown against the Bengals and this may be his week to supplant as the TE1 on the Steelers.

Green Bay Packers may not be the worst against defending the tight ends, but they are up there. They have already faced TJ Hockenson and George Kittle and allowed monster games for them (8/66/1 and 7/92/0). In Week 1, they convinced the world that Juwan Johnson was a top Tight End add for the season. Look for them to do the same for Freiermuth.

Cole Kmet vs Detroit Lions

Yahoo Rostership: 34%
Opposition Rank vs TE: 6th

I think all the Chicago Bears will get a free pass for Week 3, but that is another article.  Cole Kmet still played 95% of the snaps and had a 20% target share (only 4 targets but let me paint my picture). He is still young and talented and involved and has passed Jimmy Graham as the top TE in this offense. I believe he will have a top finish against the Lions this week.

The Detroit Lions have faced top Tight End talents in each of the 3 weeks for the 2021 season. Each one of them had high finishes for the week. Roll the dice against the bad defense if you are looking for options at this position.

Defense/Special Teams

Tennessee Titans @ New York Jets

Yahoo Rostership: 16%
Opposition Rank vs D/ST: 1st

I think we can safely admit that a streaming option each week will be to target the New York Jets.  Don’t overthink this one, I will be supplying a third D/ST this week to balance out the obvious.

Cincinnati Bengals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Yahoo Rostership: 4%
Opposition Rank vs D/ST: 2nd

This could be the same as the aforementioned New York Jets, but the Bengals are different. I think the Cincinnati Bengals are approaching a weekly starter for a D/ST, pending their matchups.  They have 3+ sacks each week with 1+ turnover in those games and have only allowed less than 24 points in each game.  They made Dalvin Cook and David Montgomery run inefficiently and I don’t think it’s a fluke.  This is a defense to watch on Thursday night in primetime to see if this is real or not.

Green Bay Packers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Yahoo Rostership: 15%
Opposition Rank vs D/ST: 10th

The Green Bay Packers were able to find some pass rush in Week 3 with 4 sacks and were able to add an interception and fumble recovery as well. The Steelers have recently shown their porous offensive line (ranked dead last with our Offensive Line Rankings by Brad Wire) and Ben has shown to be turnover prone lately when forced into a negative game script. I think Aaron Rodgers and crew can force them as they visit Lambeau Field.

Rapid Reacshun (NFL 2021 – Week 3)

Marc Mathyk
-
0
Rapid Reacshun (NFL 2021 – Week 3)

The San Francisco 49er Defense lost the game vs the Green Bay Packers on Sunday night.

Many came after Jimmy G again but mistakes aside, he marched his offense down the field and made plays when they counted. He came back and orchestrated the game-winning drive. Leaving 37 seconds left.

Aaron Rodgers is a magician. Davante Adams is the magic potion. As good as Rodgers is, without his magic potion he must resort to other lesser remedies, and let’s face it outside of Adams the Packers receivers are below average.

You stop Mike Evans. Brady’s still got Gronk, AB, Godwin.

You stop George Kittle. Jimmy G’s still got Aiyuk and Deebo.

You stop Davante Adams Rodgers has a whole lotta nada.

It’s very simple.

Here are the night’s stats and it is quite typical. Predictable even.

Adam’s Target Share: 58%

And we see this type of mindblowing target share and dominance more than often. Sure it was more this game but Adams has a 38.7% target share after three games. Find me another player close to that. In fact, Adams has 25 receptions on 34 targets and 309 yards. The rest of the Packers have totaled 40 receptions on 57 targets for 408 yards.

Now tell me San Francisco had no idea who Rodgers was looking to with 37 seconds left in the game.

Here is the first play from Rodgers to Adams.

Spectator view:

QB view:

Breaking it down… Zone coverage.

#4 on right side is Emmanuel Moseley and the LB in the middle is Fred Ward. Safety on the left side is Jacquiski Tart #3. CB right center is Jimmie Ward #1. Davante Adams is circled in red.

Here are the options for Rodgers:

Left side: Allen Lazard & Robert Tonyan

Right side: Aaron Jones, Randall Cobb & Davante Adams

As you can see, it’s already stacked on the right side but the 49ers are still in zone.

LBs hang back.

There are three defenders on the left side for Tonyan & Lazard (who had a combined 2 receptions all night). There are four defenders on the right side for Cobb, Adams, and Aaron Jones.

Adams goes past the linebacker on right side and cuts to his left. What is Moseley thinking here? Maybe Moseley is staying in zone in case Jones is targeted and gets away from the linebacker. Adams is also behind the middle linebacker Ward.

The result is a 25-yard reception for a wide open Adams.Easy peasy.

Then the incompletion to who? No other than Davante Adams who is lined up on left this time. Zone implemented again despite one man who has been wrecking them all night.

Incompletion. It was a bad pass by Rodgers but Adams was very comfortably open again. Then the third pass attempt to no other than Davante Adams to set up the game-winning FG.

Lined up top (left side). Watch Rodgers who had no intentions of throwing it to anyone else.

Zone again. Wide open again.

Zone each time. Each time the defensive call failed.

SF needed to contain one man. Let the rest of the team beat you. Cobb? Tonyan? MSV wasn’t even out there.

I think the defensive scheme failed. I’m no expert but zone against Davante Adams three times in a row isn’t the right call when the game is on the line.

Did the defense adjust? No.

Is it a lack of seeing what is being presented and how and where DA is lined up? Maybe. It is just baffling to me that Rodgers needs 2 plays for 45 yards to the same player that always dominates left open. Take Adams out and what then? A much greater chance for SF to win. People blame the offensive play calling by Shanny. Some blame Jimmy G’s inconsistencies.

Jimmy G legitimately won the game for them leaving 37 seconds and a big field. Whether you conclude it was the SF secondary or the conservative zone play-calling on defense, Rodgers to Adams shouldn’t have happened that easy that often in 37 seconds. It was too easy. Take Adams out and then “good luck Mr. Rodgers”. SF lost this game by not covering the most dangerous receiver in the game. Period. I am no expert. But it seemed pretty clear to me. 49ers fans should be outraged by that 37 seconds. It was sad to watch.

Untangling the Waiver Wire (Fantasy Football 2021 – Week 4)

Michael Reedy
-
0
Untangling the Waiver Wire (Fantasy Football 2021 – Week 4)

The fantasy community lost Michael Tagliere who was a writer and podcast host for Fantasy Pros to Covid-19. I have known Mike since 2014 and had many interactions with him over the years. I genuinely like and will dearly miss him. So instead of me trying to be funny or witty today, I am going to ask you to give Mike a brief moment of silence.

 

Thank you.

NOTE: If you are new around here this column refers to players rostered in under 50% of Yahoo, ESPN, and Sleeper leagues.

Quarterbacks

Sam Darnold

Darnold has proven that being set free from the Jets is a wonderful thing. Through the first 3 games of the season, the new Carolina QB is averaging just under 300 yards passing per game and has been responsible for 2 touchdowns in each game either passing or rushing. With the Cowboys and their bottom 10 defense against quarterbacks in fantasy next on the schedule, Darnold is a must-add if you are struggling at QB.

22% rostered on Yahoo
9% rostered on ESPN
31% rostered on Sleeper
10% Free Agent Budget

Jacoby Brissett

Brissett is proving again that he has fantasy value. With Tua now on IR, we will have at least 3 more weeks of Brissett. Those three weeks bring the Colts, the Buccaneers, and the Jaguars. This means 3 weeks of fantasy goodness from Brissett.

2% rostered on Yahoo
1% rostered on ESPN
6% rostered on Sleeper
8% Free Agent Budget

Taylor Heinicke

IN his two full games as the starter, Heinicke has a 316 yard 2 TD game and a 212 yard 2 TD passing and another 21 yards and a TD rushing. He is clearly HeiniCAN. The team that gives up the most fantasy points to quarterbacks is up next, that’s right the Atlanta Falcons.

6% rostered on Yahoo
3% rostered on ESPN
13% rostered on Sleeper
10% Free Agent Budget

Other quarterbacks to consider: Teddy Bridgewater, Ben Roethlisberger

Running Backs

Chuba Hubbard

With Christian McCaffrey missing 2 or 3 weeks, Hubbard becomes a big priority on the wire. He had good volume stepping in for CMC with 11 carries for 52 yards and 3 receptions for 27 yards. He will be the primary back at least for the next few weeks for the Panthers and they will utilize him.

25% rostered on Yahoo
11% on ESPN
40% on Sleeper
18% Free Agent Budget

Zack Moss

Moss looked really good on Sunday and the stat sheet reflects that. 60 yards on 13 carries and 3 receptions for 30 yards and a touchdown. With injuries at running back, I would make Moss and Hubbard priority adds this week.

54% rostered on Yahoo
11% on ESPN
63% on Sleeper
15% Free Agent Budget

Peyton Barber

Well I wasn’t expecting to be writing about Barber, but 23 carries for 111 yards and a touchdown with 3 receptions for 31 yards makes a guy a player you need to add. Jacobs appears to be dinged up but he might be back in week 4, Barber has proven he is the backup to Jacobs.

7% rostered on Yahoo
11% on ESPN
7% on Sleeper
5% Free Agent Budget

Other running backs to consider: Giovanni Bernard

Wide Receivers

Hunter Renfrow

In Week 3, Renfrow scored his first touchdown of the season. His first three weeks of the season have gone 6 receptions for 70 yards in Week 1; 5 receptions for 57 yards in Week 2; and 5 receptions for 77 yards in a touchdown in Week 3. If you are playing in PPR, I would definitely make Renfrow and add.

11% rostered on Yahoo
11% on ESPN
22% on Sleeper
10% Free Agent Budget

Kendrick Bourne

In Week 3, James White left the game with a hip injury and Bourne saw 16% target share which gave him 8 targets for 6 receptions, 96 yards, and a touchdown. I would have him and Jakobi Meyers as adds if he is available as well.

1% rostered on Yahoo
0% on ESPN
4% on Sleeper
8% Free Agent Budget

Emmanuel Sanders

Sanders saw 6 targets for 5 receptions for 94 yards and 2 touchdowns in Week 3. He and Cole Beasley scorched the Washington Football Team from the slot for 192 yards in total. I love Sanders and he is an add but I would have him after the two guys I listed earlier if you need a wide receiver Washington is consistently burned in the slot, proceed with some caution.

26% rostered on Yahoo
23% on ESPN
37% on Sleeper
2% Free Agent Budget

Other wide receivers to consider: Quez Watkins, Tim Patrick

Tight Ends

Dawson Knox

He had 41 yards in Week 1 and followed that up with 2 receptions for 17 yards and a touchdown in Week 2. In Week 3, Knox saw 5 targets which he turned into 4 receptions for 49 yards and a touchdown. I talked about him in this space last week. I pretty much joked about it, but seriously he is a TE add now he is the 6th best TE in fantasy right now.

10% rostered on Yahoo
4% on ESPN
11% rostered on Sleeper
10% Free Agent Budget

Austin Hooper

Hooper saw only 3 targets but he had 2 receptions for 19 yards and a touchdown. He has been producing somewhat in fantasy. You could do worse than Hooper and if you don’t have one of the big guys you probably are doing worse.

49% rostered on Yahoo
47% on ESPN
39% on Sleeper
2% Free Agent Budget

Other tight ends to consider: Tyler Conklin, Gerald Everett

Thanks for checking out our waiver wire column. For more great content from the Undroppables, follow us on Twitter, follow @MikeReedyFF for more great content, and visit back soon for Mike’s weekly Money Makers and Heart Breakers

1...515253...135Page 52 of 135

Popular Articles

Featured

Newsletter

Subscribe and become an insider!

© Copyright - The Undroppables