Please remember I will be running a playoff challenge jointly with Ride Hard Breathe Easy again to support this charity. We would love to have you play.
If you didn’t make the playoffs in your season-long leagues, please remember I will still be here for DFS for weeks and weeks. If you haven’t played DFS before, feel free to ping me with a DM on Twitter or wherever you connect with me, and I’ll help you figure out how to get started.
One of the biggest things to remember about fantasy football is we play it for enjoyment. We don’t play it to be stressed over who to start or how my team is doing. We don’t play it to fight over league rules with other people. Instead, we played it because we enjoyed playing it.
Have fun, and good luck in Week 15.
If you are new here, this column can be used to help you handle some sit/start questions you might have, but its primary purpose is to take you through the main DFS slate weekly with players that will make you money and players that will break your heart.
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Here is a brief definition of each of my terms for anyone that might be new:
💰 Money Maker – This player will perform better than expectations
💔 Heart Breaker – This player will perform lower than expectations
💰 Money Makers
In Week 15, the Jets play the Lions. The Lions give up the most fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. The Lions have given up multiple touchdowns to quarterbacks in five of the last seven games. White had a tough go against the Bills in Week 14, but their defense is good. In the two games before that, White threw for over 300 yards in each game. His teammates are supporting him. He has a great matchup. Feels like another 300-yard game in Week 15.
$5,400 on DraftKings
$7,000 on Fanduel
Herbert has had multiple touchdowns or over 300 yards in the last four games. This coincides with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams getting healthy. In funny how a full complement of wide receivers can help a quarterback. The Chargers play the Titans in week 15. The Titans give the second most fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. The past two weeks, Trevor Lawrence and Jalen Hurts each passed for three touchdowns and ran for another against this Titans’ defense. This is the perfect blow-up spot for Herbert
$7,200 on DraftKings
$8,300 on Fanduel
Over the past four weeks, Jared Goff has been the overall QB8. Over the past two games, he has been the overall QB3. He has multiple touchdowns in 3 straight games and over 300 yards in the past two games. The Jets are an excellent defense. But Goff finally had a full complement of skill position players around him this season, which has made a massive difference in this offense. This is another 21 fantasy points with 240 yards and multiple touchdowns for Goff.
$5,700 on DraftKings
$7,300 on Fanduel
Other quarterbacks for Week 15
$5,000 on DraftKings
$6,300 on Fanduel
$6,200 on DraftKings
$7,500 on Fanduel
$5,200 on DraftKings
$6,700 on Fanduel
Isaiah Pacheco & Jerick McKinnon
The Texans give up the most fantasy points to running backs. Pacheco has double-digit fantasy points in 4 straight games. McKinnon blew up last week with 28 fantasy points against the Broncos. Both backs will get plenty of runs. Pacheco is averaging 4.9 yards per carry, and the Texans give up an average of 5 yards per carry. That is 18 carries for 141 yards and a touchdown weekly to running backs. Last week, Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliot surpassed 15 fantasy points against the Texans. Great spot to play both of these guys this week.
$5,900 on DraftKings
$7,6000 on Fanduel
$5,200 on DraftKings
$6,200 on Fanduel
The Chargers give up the fifth most fantasy points to opposing teams running backs. This season, running backs scored double-digit fantasy points against the Chargers. One of the most consistent things about this is the running backs getting volume have run over the Chargers (see what I did there). Henry is the RB4 on the season so far. He already has over 1000 yards and 11 touchdowns on the season. Henry also has a 10% target share in the passing game. He should have a massive game in Week 15. The stars are entirely aligned.
$8,000 on DraftKings
$8,900 on Fanduel
Pierre Strong came in and played in relief of an injured Rhamondre Stevenson in Week 14. Kevin Harris played more snaps, but Strong was the better running back. Strong had five carries for 70 yards, a touchdown, and two receptions for another 20 yards. The Patriots are playing the Raiders in Week 15. The Raiders give up the 7th most points fantasy points to opposing teams running backs. The Patriots like to use their running backs a lot. The Raiders don’t defend the position well. I feel Strong this week.
$4,000 on DraftKings
$4,500 on Fanduel
Other Running backs for Week 15
$5,300 on DraftKings
$7,200 on Fanduel
$7,900 on DraftKings
$7,800 on Fanduel
Allen is back and healthy. In the four games of his return, his target share is 25.3%. In the last two games, he has had 14 targets each game for a 30% target share. The volume will be there in Week 15 for Allen. This gets even better because the Chargers play the Titans in Week 15. The Titans give up the most fantasy points to wide receivers weekly. Seventeen different wide receivers have scored double-digit fantasy points against the Titans. So far, the Titans have given up 18 touchdowns to wide receivers. Great week to play Allen and Mike Williams. It is the best matchup these guys will see this season.
$6,800 on DraftKings
$8,000 on Fanduel
The Lions are up next for the Jets. The Lions give opposing teams’ wide receivers the third most fantasy points. Three wide receivers for the Vikings scored double-digit fantasy points against the Lions in Week 14. Since Mike White has taken over at quarterback, Wilson has seen 23.8% target share and 39.4% of the air yards. He has 335 yards and two touchdowns. He has 30 targets and 19 receptions in this 3-game stretch. The matchup is friendly; he is the clear-cut number 1 option in the Jets’ passing game. So you cannot go wrong with playing Wilson in week 15.
$6,000 on DraftKings
$7,800 on Fanduel
In Week 14, Moore had 11 targets. He turned that into ten receptions and 124 yards. That was against the Cowboys. Moore had a 44% target share and 42.5% air yards share in Week 14. The Cowboys are good at defense. In Week 15, the Texans play the Chiefs. The Chiefs give up the 4th most fantasy points to wide receivers. That is because teams have to pass against the Chiefs to stay in the game. If Nico Collins is out again in Week 15, I am playing Moore.
$4,200 on DraftKings
$6,000 on Fanduel
Other Wide Receivers for Week 15
$7,300 on DraftKings
$8,100 on Fanduel
$6,500 on DraftKings
$7,100 on Fanduel
$5,300 on DraftKings
$6,600 on Fanduel
Courtland Sutton got hurt in Week 13. Dulcich became the target monster in his absence. Dulcich led the Broncos in targets with 8. In Week 14, Dulcich also had eight targets. In the last two games, he leads the Broncos with a 25% target share. He also leads the Broncos with 36.4% of the air yards. He has 14.1 yards per reception. The Cardinal who give up the most fantasy points to tight ends is the opponent in Week 15. Tight ends averaged seven receptions and 73 yards against the Cardinals. With Duclich’s volume, I’m playing him here. Volume is king.
$3,600 on DraftKings
$5,600 on Fanduel
Schultz is second on the Cowboys in target share with 18% on the season. Schultz has double-digit fantasy scores in 4 of the last five games. The Cowboys are playing the Jaguars in Week 15. The Jaguars give up the 9th most fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. It is a great week to plug him in.
$4,400 on DraftKings
$6,500 on Fanduel
Other Tight Ends for Week 15
$3,300 on DraftKings
$5,200 on Fanduel
$3,400 on DraftKings
$5,200 on Fanduel
$3,200 on DraftKings
$5,000 on Fanduel
Fields has been great when healthy since taking over as the starter for the Bears. But in Week 15, the Bears are playing the Eagles. The Eagles give the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. Not a single quarterback this season has scored 20 or more fantasy points against the Eagles.
The Jaguars finished an excellent five-game stretch, and Lawrence was great. Super easy matchups agree with him. In Week 15, all of that changes as the Jaguars play the Cowboys. Only one quarterback has scored more than 20 fantasy points against the Cowboys this season. The Cowboys give up the 4th fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ quarterbacks. Lawrence hasn’t fared so well against difficult matchups this season. In the three games he has played against top 10 defenses against quarterbacks, Lawrence has only broken ten fantasy points once. YUCK.
The Seahawks are playing the Niners in Week 15. The Seahawks played the Niners. In Week 2, Geno Smith had 197 yards and an interception. I’m not too fond of the matchup. If you have better options, I will avoid playing him even season-long this week. Especially with the lack of support, he is getting in the run game.
As we know, the Seahawks are playing the Niners in Week 15. The Niners give up the fewest points to opposing teams running backs. Homer was not good in Week 14, covering for Kenneth Walker. With the toughest matchup possible, I am expecting even less. Remember to brush your teeth after this puke fest.
The Raiders are playing the Patriots in Week 15. The Patriots give the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams running backs. So yes, if you have Jacobs, you are playing him season-long. But no, do not play him in DFS. The risk is too significant when you can get good production at a fraction of the price.
The Cowboys defense is good, not just against the pass but also against the run. The Cowboys give up the fourth fewest points to opposing teams running backs. Etienne is another guy you are playing season-long, but it should be avoided in DFS.
Kyler Murray is hurt and will miss the rest of the season. I don’t trust Colt McCoy. The Broncos give up the least amount of fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. Everything says yuck. I am not interested here at all if you can avoid it.
The Colts give the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ wide receivers. Jefferson will probably still score in double digits but temper your expectations some. I am avoiding DFS and playing season-long. You can find the production you think Jefferson would give you in the Chargers wide receivers for a lower price this week in DFS.
I have Mike Evans rostered on a season-long team. He didn’t help me much. The Bengals are tough against wide receivers. This looks like a Fournette and White game regarding catching the ball.
The Commanders give up the second-fewest fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. People were excited that Bellinger was returning from his injury because the Giants needed some help in their offense. Instead, the Commanders held Bellinger to 5 receptions for 24 yards in Week 13. In Week 14, Bellinger only had three receptions for 19 yards. The bright spot is Bellinger is catching everything thrown his way. The negative is that the volume is low, and the yardage is low.
Engram was the top-scoring tight end in Week 14. He went nuts. That was then, and this is now. The Cowboys give up the least amount of fantasy points to opposing teams’ tight ends. Do you know how many tight ends have hit ten or more fantasy points against the Cowboys? The correct answer is 0. That’s right, no one has. I wouldn’t play Engram anywhere this week. Don’t chase those points.
Good luck this week!