Injuries / Off-Season Dynasty Advice

There were numerous season-ending injuries in the 2023 NFL Season. Below is my official medical advice on what you should do with your dynasty players and why!

Nick Chubb

Injury

Left knee injury in September of 2023 (MCL / ACL repair). Nick injured the same knee and the same ligaments in 2015.

Analysis

It is scientifically proven that new MCL / ACL grafts are not as strong as the original tissue. Being that this is the second injury to the same ligaments, this is a cause for concern. Chubb will be 29 next season, so his dynasty value is probably at an all-time low.

Dynasty Advice

Keep and pray for a strong recovery. They may look to add depth to the position, with Nick Chubb returning from injury and Jerome Ford not being as efficient as one had hoped. Watch Trav Seel‘s thoughts in our Unraveled Series.

 

Cam Akers

Injury

Achilles tear in 2021 – Repeat tear to same Achilles in Nov of 2023.

Analysis

Notoriously, data is not favorable to RBs with Achilles tears. Since this is his second one on the same side, it is not good news for Akers. At this point, there will be little to no market for Akers in dynasties. I fear that the end may be near.

Dynasty Advice

Keep/hold and pray for a strong recovery. He may be dropped by the end of summer if he does not return with the Vikings. You are not getting anything unless a late 4th for him, so if you decide to move on, be prepared to get pennies on the dollar.

JK Dobbins

Injury

Multiple Knee injuries, including ACL / LCL, with complications. In Week 1 of 2023, he suffered an Achilles’ tear.

Analysis

Like Akers, we know that data supporting RB’s return from Achilles tears are not strong. With a knee injury history, the odds are stacked against JK. Unlike Akers, there may still be a market for Dobbins if he returns to Baltimore, given that that offense is conducive to rushing TDs. Given how elite this player was once, someone may be willing to take a chance.

Dynasty Advice

Sell, if possible, to someone wanting to take a chance. Cam Akers’s return might save some of his value, but you will definitely be moving him at a discount.

Anthony Richardson

Injury

He injured his AC Joint in Week 5 of the 2023 NFL Season and was placed on IR. He also missed time in his rookie season with concussions as well.

Analysis

2023 was a season of highs and lows for the fourth overall pick. While only playing in 4 total games, he delivered 2 QB1-worthy performances and averaged a whopping 0.4 fantasy points per snap. He is already labeled as “injury-prone,” which should be music to our ears. I am confident he will change his playstyle, and with how protective the league is of QBs, I don’t know that we can count him out due to injury concerns, as some people already have. If he plays north of 14 games, it would not surprise me if he finishes as a top 5 fantasy quarterback in 2024.

Dynasty Advice

BUY in all formats. He is an elite prospect who showed he can produce in a small sample size.

Mike Williams

Injury

Chargers standout WR Mike Williams suffered a torn ACL in October of the 2023 season.

Analysis

While the jump ball specialist is expected to be ready for training camp, I have concerns about the former first-round pick. We know that Mike Williams is no stranger to injury, as nagging injuries throughout his career have hampered him. Even with this injury history, Williams has provided decent numbers from a fantasy standpoint from 2020-2022. However, with pass catchers Keenan Allen and Joshua Palmer on the roster, first-round WR Quentin Johnston in the 2023 NFL draft, and rumored to be selecting another pass-catching weapon in the first round of the 2024 draft, I fear there may be too many mouths to feed, and Williams may get lost in the shuffle.

Dynasty Advice

Sell if possible. There is a lot of change in LA, and Mike Williams might also be on the move. Coming off a severe injury and maybe learning a new team and offense, see if someone is willing to buy low.

Marcus Galie, DPT

UnMock Draft v1.0

As the NFL season enters the postseason, it’s that time of year for serious dynasty fantasy football players to start looking at the next incoming rookie class. Here at the Undroppables, we love talking rookies and dynasty strategies, and what better way than to start with a super early mock draft? Let us know how we did on our socials, and be on the lookout for more dynasty content this off-season.

Mock Draft Settings

Two rounds. 12 Team, Superflex TEP mock draft.

Drafters

KL_Fantasy (Picks 1.01, 1.05, 1.09, 2.01, 2.05, 2.09)
Jax Falcone (Picks 1.02, 1.06, 1.10, 2.02, 2.06, 2.10)
DaWiz_FFB (Picks 1.03, 1.07, 1.11, 2.03, 2.07, 2.11)
FFDF (Picks 1.04, 1.08, 1.12, 2.04, 2.08, 2.12)

Round 1

1.01 – Caleb Williams (QB – USC)


The 1.01 has been Caleb Williams for at least 12 months, as the young USC gunslinger has put together a highly prolific NCAA career and is widely considered a can’t-miss prospect. Williams won the Heisman trophy in 2022, but his strong performance wasn’t limited to just that season. Williams has a 93-14 TD-INT ratio, over 10,000 passing yards, and 27 rushing TDs over his three-year career under HC Lincoln Riley.

1.02 Marvin Harrison Jr (WR – OSU)


Marvin Harrison Jr is as close to a can’t-miss prospect as we see in the NFL. In Superflex, the value of a QB is sky-high, but the hit rate is far lower than what we see with wide receivers with MHJ’s profile. So, you’ll have to start thinking about Harrison as early as the 1.01. MHJ didn’t dominate as a Freshman, but he played with JSN, Olave, Egbuka, and Garrett Wilson. However, in 25 games over his sophomore and junior seasons, he put up 144 receptions, 2,474 yards, and 28 TDs. Think DeAndre Hopkins/AJ Green for comparables.

1.03 – Drake Maye (QB – UNC)

In any other class, Drake Maye is easily the QB1. At 6’4″, 230, Maye is a QB1 prototype. He followed his dynamite Sophomore season (37 TDs, 7 INTs, 4,293 YDS) with 3,608 YDS, 24 TDs & 9 INTs in his Junior year. Maye isn’t just a threat with his arm, though. He averaged 6.2 YPC across 121 RuATT throughout his college career. His ability to throw on the run and push the ball downfield will excite teams about his pro potential. On Deep Throws (20+ YDS), Maye averaged 17.1 YPA with a 13/4 TD/INT ratio, which is good for a 96.8 rating per PFF. His ability to move the pocket while keeping his eyes downfield should bode well for NFL success.

1.04 – Malik Nabers (WR – LSU)

The actual decisions start at 1.04 in Superflex dynasty rookie drafts, and the top three seem straightforward in whatever order you want. The pick comes down to Malik Nabers and Jayden Daniels; both are LSU prospects. If you have the deepest needs at QB, you can go with Jayden, but I am looking at pure talent at this pick. Malik would be the top WR prospect if not for MHJ; he is a safe draft pick for NFL Teams and your dynasty team.

1.05 – Rome Odunze (WR – Washington)

The Washington Huskies had a ton of success in 2023, making it to the national championship, and a ton of credit should go to their pass-catchers, especially jump-ball-extraordinaire Rome Odunze. Odunze made high-point, full-extension catches look routine all season and accounted for 1,640 yards and 13 TDs on 92 catches in his Redshirt Junior season. Odunze is also a fantastic route-runner and plays with physicality in the YAC game.

1.06 Jayden Daniels (QB – LSU)

Seeing a quarterback with this profile available at the 1.06 feels lucky. Jayden profiles much like Jalen Hurts/Lamar Jackson but with a much lighter frame. On the plus side, in 2023, Jayden did the following: Won the Heisman, Completed 72% of his passes, 50 Touchdowns (40 passing/10rushing), Ran for 1134 yards (8.4per carry!!), and also had 11.7 Yards per Attempt.  Wild.  On the downside, he transferred twice, is an old prospect (23 years old), and had four other college seasons that didn’t quite compare to 2023. In a superflex league, he is well worth a shot here at the 1.06 if he goes early 1st rd in the NFL.

1.07 – Brock Bowers (TE – Georgia)


Arguably the best TE prospect we have ever seen, Bowers is genuinely a “unicorn” at the TE position. While he may be undersized by typical NFL standards, he fits right in line with some of the more recent athletic TEs who have seen immediate success in the NFL. (LaPorta, McBride & yes, Kyle Pitts) He is a matchup nightmare for any linebacker, and if he lands in the right system in the NFL, he should have a chance to showcase his elite route running from Day 1. Can you imagine if Ben Johnson departs for LAC and Bowers lands there? LaPorta’s rookie records may be in jeopardy after only one season. He was the focal point of the Georgia offense the moment he arrived on campus, and he averaged 14.5/Rec for his college career as a TE, nonetheless! He’ll immediately insert himself into the Top 5 Dynasty TE discussion and, depending on the landing spot, could be even higher before he takes a snap. He’s a stud, no matter how you slice it.

1.08 Michael Penix Jr. (QB – Washington)

Penix showcased what he could do during the College Football Playoffs with a huge game against Texas. Finishing strong with 2022 and 2023 campaigns for his resume, the concern for most will be health and age (he will be 24 this coming May).  In a Superflex league, QBs are necessary for starting and depth; this is a good landing spot for someone drafted to start some NFL games immediately.

1.09 – Devontez Walker (WR – UNC)


While Walker at 1.09 may not be chalk, he’s a prime candidate for a massive combine and scouting period bump. Walker has an insane mix of size and athleticism reminiscent of elite receivers past, allowing him to beat cornerbacks in various ways. The Tar Heel WR boasts a select catch radius to win contested catch situations but also has a low 4.4s speed. Walker was GPS-clocked at over 23 mph multiple times in his collegiate career. If you’re more into stats, Walker has things going for him over there, too, as he accounted for 58/921/11 in an entire season with Kent State last year and 41/699/7 in 8 games for UNC this season.

1.10 TreVeyon Henderson Jonathon Brooks (RB – Texas)

I had taken TraVeon here, and when we were at the 2.04, TraVeon recommitted to Ohio St for another year.  So, I just replaced him with Jonathan Brooks.  I’m not sure I would take Brooks this early, but I would if he didn’t have the ACL injury. Jonathon Brooks played behind Roschon Johnson and Bijan Robinson in his first two seasons, but he was the unquestioned lead back this past year.  Brooks has been very productive on a per-play basis, going for 6.2 yards per carry and a whopping 12.0 yards per catch on 28 receptions (25 this past season). I’m seeing shades of Rachaad White with Jonathan Brooks, and that’s good. He also just turned 20 years old.

1.11 – Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – LSU)

While his college teammate, Malik Nabers, will receive much of the attention (rightfully so), Thomas Jr. is someone NFL teams and dynasty managers alike should be very excited about. For starters, Thomas Jr. is a big play waiting to happen. He averaged 17.2 Y/REC this past season vs Nabers’ 17.6. Thomas Jr. can win in the slot and downfield. That versatility should give him ample opportunity to succeed at the next level. His 6’4” frame should allow him also to be a weapon in the red zone (like what we’ve seen from Tee Higgins). He’s incredibly smooth for his size but also has an explosive element to his game. If he can continue to expand his route tree, he has a serious upside at the NFL level.

1.12 Bo Nix (QB – Oregon)


Bo had himself a spectacular year at Oregon. He broke the completion percentage record (77.45% on 470 attempts) and had 51 total touchdowns (45 passing and six rushing) on three interceptions.  Age is a concern again since Bo will be 24 at the draft, but his campaign shows Nix is ready for the NFL.  He will start right away for a team and give a championship team some needed depth for their dynasty team – or, more likely, a rebuilding team that acquired the pick from the championship team.

Round 2

2.01 – Michael Pratt (QB – Tulane)

The dynasty hivemind has yet to catch on to Michael Pratt, as many have the gunslinger outside their top 5. However, Pratt is my QB3 in the class, behind only Williams and Maye. Unlike other options in this class, Pratt proved it on the field early in his career and was a highly productive 4-year starter. Over his four seasons for the Green Wave, Pratt threw for 9,611 yards, 90 TDs, and 26 INTs on a 60.6% completion percentage. However, what is going to be highly enticing to pro scouts is Pratt’s raw athleticism, as he has a cannon for an arm and can and does regularly extend plays with his legs.

2.02 – Ja’Tavion Sanders (TE – Texas)

JT Sanders is big, fast, and productive. He is also very young.  Brock Bowers is the clear TE1 in this class, but Sanders may be the better value, as you can draft Sanders in the late 2nd/early 3rd in some rookie drafts.  Sanders put up 99 receptions, 1295 yards, and 7 TDs in his sophomore and junior seasons at Texas. You may have to be patient with Sanders, as TEs generally take a while to hit (McBride), and Sanders is young. The landing spot will also significantly determine if/when it’s best to push the button on Sanders in your rookie draft.

2.03 – Xavier Worthy (WR – Texas)

If there is one thing to associate with Xavier Worthy, it’s SPEED. Worthy will run one of the fastest 40’s at the upcoming NFL combine. While he has a thin frame (6’1” 172), Worthy is incredibly explosive and a YAC machine. His 571 YAC ranked 13th in the nation this past season. Worthy possesses true “blow off the top” speed and will immediately warrant Defensive Coordinators attention for that alone. NFL teams will covet his ability to stack defenders and then make guys miss once he has the ball in his hands. He looks smooth when you watch him, and his ability to line up at multiple positions should be highly enticing for any NFL team looking to add a big play-receiving threat in the upcoming draft.

2.04 – Trey Benson (RB – FSU)


This might be the first reach of the mock draft, but if I am a team looking to find the next explosive rookie RB, I immensely like Benson.  He has the most explosive upside, vision improvements, and pass-catching improvements between his 2022 and 2023 seasons. That means he can contribute immediately to an NFL team and your dynasty team. His size for how fast he moves is impressive, too, being 6’1″ and 223 lbs.

2.05 – Braelon Allen (RB – Wisconsin)

With TreVeyeon Henderson heading back to Ohio State to chase a championship, it’s a different Big Ten RB that tops my early running back ranks. Braelon Allen is 19 and has already established an astounding collegiate career. The Wisconsin RB is 6’2” and 238 lbs of pure muscle, which he often uses to take the souls of would-be tacklers. He accounted for over 1,200 yards on the ground in his first two seasons and wrapped up his Badger career with 984 yards in 2023. In addition, Allen has proved a little bit of something in the passing game, with 49 career catches and 28 coming in 2023.

2.06 – Troy Franklin (WR – Oregon)

Troy Franklin is one of my favorite prospects in the 2024 draft. His super slight frame would have been a concern for me in the past, but it seems that is no longer a disqualifier in today’s NFL.  If anything, it may be the way the league is trending. Smaller and faster (quicker). Well, Franklin IS fast.  Expect to see a sub 4.4 40-time, and with his super productive junior season in 2023, we may see him get drafted in round one of the NFL Draft.  I can envision Franklin being a late-first-round rookie pick in May in superflex leagues. Think Marquis Brown/Jordan Addison.

2.07 – Bucky Irving (RB – Oregon)

The NFL running back landscape is changing. Recently, we have seen the likes of James Cook, De’Von Achane, Kyren Williams, and Jahmyr Gibbs take the league by storm. Bucky Irving is cut off that same “new age” NFL RB cloth. Standing at 5’10” and 195, Irving makes money with his versatility and ability to make defenders miss. Among RBs with <6.00 YPC, Irving’s 0.37 MTF/A ranked 5th in the nation. He was also graded as the most elusive draft-eligible RB per PFF. Irving displays a real suddenness in & out of his cuts. He reminds me a bit of Tyjae Spears in this regard. What I like about Irving is his receiving ability. If you’re going to fit the “new age” RB build, you need to be able to catch the ball, and Irving has proven he can do just that. He led all RBs in RECs this past season with 54. While he may fit into the traditional “scat back” mold, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him become a backend/solid RB2 in PPR formats, given his receiving prowess.

2.08 – Keon Coleman (WR – FSU)

There is still a home for big-body receivers in the NFL, and teams will still draft them and hope they work.  Keon stands at 6’4″ and 215 lbs and has shown his athleticism throughout his career. The route running can be sharpened, and with his flashes of brilliance, teams could hope to capitalize on all the untapped potential that Coleman has flashed. He is a Day 2 prospect and will be a good flier on teams to take a chance on him for your dynasty rosters.

2.09 – Ja’Lynn Polk (WR – Washington)

With Jalen McMillan oft-injured in 2023, Polk made the most of his opportunities and put together a 1,159-yard season with 10 TDs. The Texas Tech transfer is a lanky wideout who can play both inside and out and possesses a massive catch radius, above-average strength, and great bursts once he gets the ball in his hands. Polk’s hands are some of the best in the class, and I think he has a long career ahead of him, working the seams and the underneath game out of the slot position at the NFL level.

2.10 – Adonai Mitchell (WR – Texas)


You might think I’m a Texas fan or something, but the value here was too good to pass up.  I’m somewhat skeptical of Mitchell as a prospect, but getting a projected early round-2 NFL prospect here in the late 2nd of a rookie draft is a great value. I sense there will be other WR prospects I will end up liking better than Mitchell, but we’ll see.  I also considered taking RB’s Blake Corum or Audric Estime.  There will undoubtedly be value in the late 2nd/early 3rd of our rookie drafts here in 2024. Mitchell had an outstanding true freshman season with career stats: 99 Rec – 1405 Yards – 18 TDs. Terrace Marshall vibes.

2.11 – Ladd McConkey (WR – Georgia)

Ladd may be one of this class’s most “pro-ready” WRs. He doesn’t explode off the tape like some of his counterparts in this class; McConkey is incredibly smooth and versatile. McConkey is a polished route runner in his own right, which will make him productive once on the field. I’d describe McConkey as shifty more than explosive, but he finds a way to get open. Everyone is looking for the next Puka Nacua and newsflash. There isn’t a next Puka Nacua, but McConkey’s high football IQ and ability to find open spaces should prove extremely valuable at the next level. His 2.54 YPRR is suitable for 4th best of all draft-eligible WRs, and we have seen YPRR be a strong indicator of future success. With his production profile and ability to contribute early, McConkey is one of my favorite fliers at the end of the 2nd round.

2.12 – JJ McCarthy (QB – Michigan)

The best QB Michigan has ever seen, according to Jim Harbaugh.  Without a polarizing season capped off with a national title, many will be debating whether he should have stayed another year.  Teams will look to answer their QB questions, and although the stats are not great, there is plenty of film to highlight that JJ can make the big throws. This will be a topic all offseason, but an NFL team will take him in the first round, and draft capital can be king for dynasty leagues.  This is Superflex, right? What are we doing to let a starting QB fall this far?

Honorable Mentions

Malachi Corley (WR – Western Kentucky)
Jaylen Wright (RB – Tennessee)
Blake Corum (RB – Michigan)
Audric Estime (RB – Notre Dame)

Deep Sleepers

Blake Watson (RB – Memphis)
Kimani Vidal (RB – Troy)
Dallin Holker (TE – Colorado State)
Emani Bailey (RB – TCU)

First Look at 2024 Rookie QBs (1-5)

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With the NFL season winding down, it’s time to start diving into the 2024 rookie class. Here’s a look at the top 5 QB prospects from my perspective.

1. Jayden Daniels

Jayden Daniels stands listed at a long 6 -4, 210 pounds. Having started his career at Arizona State under Herm Edwards, Jayden looked to be oozing with talent from the jump. Flanked by San Franciso WR Brandon Aiyuk, Daniels started his first career game in 2019 as a true freshman. He’s been a starter ever since that day. Upon transferring to LSU for the 2022 season, he put up solid stats, boasting a 17-3 touchdown to interception ratio. The 2023 season is where s**t got real. Jayden put up a 40-3 TD to INT ratio, passing for almost 4,000 yards. On top of that massively impressive leap in passing, Daniels also ran for 1,100 yards and led his Tigers to a 9-3 record. Jayden is blessed with the tools that make your jaw hit the floor, allowing one to remember what is so exciting about football.

The arm possessed by Daniels, paired with his rushing ability, is something you seldom see in an NFL draft prospect. Aside from owning these qualities, Jayden is a humble, well spoken young man who stood up on the stage a few weeks ago and accepted the heisman trophy, therefore joining the god awful heisman house commercials. What jumps off the tape to me when watching Jayden is his calm demeanor in the pocket. Quite often you see him doing something I refer to as “Burrowing”. Burrowing is when the QB is able to make the rush miss while keeping both hands on the ball for ball security. In addition, he carefully keeps both eyes downfield to locate his target. He has a bazooka of an arm that is hand-crafted with gold and silk. He not only puts gas on the ball, but he can also virtually reach out and hand the ball to the receiver in his hip pocket from 40 yards out. If the U.S. Army were to create a drone that could drop moonshot footballs into receivers from 30,000 feet, they would have to paint a purple and yellow “5” on the side of it. Flanking Daniels this season has been two talents that have flourished beyond expectations this year. Malik Nabers and Brian Thomas Jr. have both eaten fruit from the tree of success that is Jayden Daniels. All of these elite tools, mixed with a young man who can be trusted to be professional at the podium, as well as being the face of a franchise, have landed him at the very tippy top of my first set of rankings for the 2024 NFL QB draft class.

Ceiling Player Comp: Lamar Jackson
Ideal Landing Spot: New Orleans Saints

2. Drake Maye

Maye comes from a long lineage of UNC bloodline. His father Mark suited up as quarterback for the Tar Heels during the 1984-1987 seasons. His brother Luke is a campus legend, as he was a prized and valued member of the 2017 National Championship run. Not only did his brother Beau play for the Tar Heels, his other brother also played for Florida’s baseball team and went on to win the national championship in 2017. Drake may have never won a national title, but he is thought to be the best athlete of the Maye family litter. The NC prospect plays with a level of calm poise you rarely see in a young man who has to get off the plane and go back to the reality of apartment living and midterm studying. Drake does not rely on flashy arm angles or elite athletic ability in terms of his legs, but damn can this kid play football. That’s not to say he can’t make people miss or throw touchdowns left-handed. He can make every throw on the field, far hash to sideline, flag route, tight window, timing routes, and even the layups. He’s got a level of athleticism that doesn’t jump off the page, but keeps middle linebackers up at night due to his ability to pull it out any time. Drake has started the last two seasons (2022 and 2023) while compiling 8,000 yards and 62 touchdowns.

Having spent so much time running RPO sets in college, he will be able to bring traditional style of play to a new school and ever changing offensive NFL. He gives me old soul vibes and I think he will have no problem winning over any locker room you put him in at the next level. During his time at UNC, he had solid talent around him but never anybody who would explode off the page. Most notably his WR from the 2022 season, Josh Downs. That gives me confidence knowing he can go into a situation without the best weapons and without the sturdiest of coaching staffs, and still turn water into wine. What stands out to me most about Maye is his ability to get everybody involved. This can also be a sign of no true alpha pass catcher, but I believe this makes life hard for defensive coordinators to truly take away what he wants to do. The top 3 receivers for UNC this past season all had roughly the same amount of yards on the season and he’s not afraid to utilize the tight end with Bryson Nesbit reeling in about 600 yards and 5 touchdowns on the year. I look forward to Drake taking a page out of his brother’s playbook at the next level, and acting as a floor general bringing out the best in all those around him.

Ceiling Player Comp: Dak Prescott
Ideal Landing Spot: New England Patriots

3. Caleb Williams

Caleb. Williams. Maybe I’m wrong putting him this far down the list although 3rd out of however many total prospects is nothing to sneeze about. Williams began his career at the University of Oklahoma under Lincoln Riley. During his initial time on campus, he spent his days backing up former University of South Carolina QB Spencer Rattler. Upon winning the job at Oklahoma, he went on to have a very stellar year which translated to him following his head coach to USC and becoming a Trojan for his final two years of college. Caleb went on to have a dazzling 2022 season where he displayed his absolute rocket ship of an arm and creativity extending plays in the pocket. Williams went on to win the Heisman award in 2022, capping off a fantastic 11-3 season and being 8-1 in conference play. The 2023 season seemed to be more of a kick in the pants than a victory lap for Caleb Williams in terms of overall success. For a regular run of the mill prospect, a team built by Lincoln Riley was assembled on promises of F-150’s and cash. This was for lack of a better word, a disappointment. Not only for the team but for Caleb as well. The reason I have Caleb down at #3 is for this exact reason. There is no denying this young man’s God-given talent to throw a football really hard, but his numbers against top-25 opponents versus non top-25 opponents are puzzling. Caleb did great at kicking the s**t out of opponents like Nevada and boasted a 70% completion rating that averaged about 320 yards through the air. Against top-25 teams, his numbers dropped to 51% completion rating and 172 average yards in the air. That is quite the cliff to be stepping off when it comes to playing against other guys who will play on Sunday. Sure, it’s nice to beat the hell out of guys who will be coaching high school football next year, but for me, I need to see you succeed against the best to be crowned the messiah of football. The issues don’t stop there. As many players do, Caleb wears his heart on his sleeve while on the field, but a claim came out off the field before this college season ended that made me take an even further step back on Caleb. It has come out of Caleb’s camp that he would like part ownership in whatever team decides to draft him. We have seen this in other sports, primarily soccer, and only after “GOAT” or even “Very Good” status has already been achieved. Not after losing to Utah and UCLA and Oregon and Washington and probably Utah a second time.

That all being said, Caleb Williams is still an absolute phenom of talent, yet I struggle to believe he can fit into any locker room like past 1.01 QBs. Guys like Bryce, Trevor, and Burrow are ones that I believe could be placed into any locker room and win over everyone by the end of training camp. I think Caleb will need to land with a coach who finds ways to pluck the talent and stroke the ego in a formula that brings the team along with him. A perfect example for who I think could do this is a guy like Mike McDaniel, but unfortunately, there’s only one of him and he’s not in Chicago. After all this negativity, you have to give him flowers for his positive attributes. Caleb is the best improviser in the class and it’s really not close. The NFL is rigid and tough, but the great QBs find ways to make plays off-schedule to extend the play, drive, and/or season. Caleb is elite in terms of turning his back to the play but being able to keep track of where everyone is; doing so with eyes in the back of his head, ripping a sidearm ball past the earhole of a linebacker, and right into his receivers gut. The kid can play ball. Built like Baker Mayfield, he’s a bit undersized but that hasn’t hurt any aspect of his physical or mental game. He’s able to efficiently navigate the pocket, and has the legs to run for big yards when given the opportunity. He’s not Lamar, Kyler or AR athletic, but he’s every bit as athletic as Lawrence, Young, or Watson. On paper, he’s a mindblowing candidate. I just have my reservations. Could I be completely wrong? Absolutely. But I don’t think he is the guy I would want to be the face of my franchise for the next 10-15 years as opposed to the two previously listed candidates.

Ceiling Player Comp: Josh Allen
Ideal Landing Spot: Las Vegas Raiders

4. Michael Penix

Michael Penix has been through one of the most adverse college stories we’ve seen in a long time. Having started his college career in 2018 as a true freshman at Indiana, Penix was only able to play three games before tearing his ACL and ending his season. Penix would remain at Indiana only to suffer the same fate in 2020 upon tearing his other ACL. Many believed we had seen the peak of Michael’s career as he had been cursed with debilitating injuries and doubt began to cloud the future of the young superstar. Michael transferred to Washington and began his career as a Husky in 2022 putting up dazzling numbers that included his current career high of 4,641 yards. In 2023, Penix and the Huskies exploded and are currently set to play in the College Football Playoff boasting a 13-0 record. Penix would be officially labeled as a left-handed pocket passer who has an affinity for the deep ball.

These past two seasons he’s been paired with superstar Wide Receiver Rome Odunze who has generated an electric chemistry with Penix reminiscent of Blake Lively and Ryan Reynolds since day one. Penix is the least rushing dependent of any of the QB’s aforementioned. He relies heavily on his pocket presence and arm talent. Not to say Penix can’t escape the pocket when needed, but the pocket is exactly where Michael thrives and is most confident. Penix can bring some serious value to a team with his cerebral approach and ability to keep teams in two high safety sets. I envision Michael as a career backup which is nothing to turn your nose up at. Traditionally Draft Classes have one to two guys pop at the QB position and the others fizzle out unless it’s the class with Herbert, Burrow, and Tua in which everybody popped. Penix can land in an organization and provide solid depth on day one. He takes care of the ball, pushes it downfield, and can extend plays. I foresee him being in the NFL for a very long time. Being that he is left-handed, it could be hard to place him in a system that isn’t already built around it. Being left-handed versus right-handed doesn’t sound like much of a problem, but a lot of plays in the NFL are built around timing and the timing of every single move of the QB from the snap. I would label him as being a PRIME candidate to back up Tua in Miami for the depth of target that the scheme bolsters, the run game, and the lack of need for the QB to make plays with his feet under Mike McDaniel.

Ceiling Player Comp: Kenny Pickett
Ideal Landing Spot: Miami Dolphins

5. Bo Nix

Like most of the class listed above, Bo is an elder statesman of college football. Lately seems to be looked at as something NFL teams value since the longer you stay in school, the more reps you get, the more developed you become, and the more ready you are to learn an NFL offense efficiently and effectively. Bo followed in his father Patrick’s footsteps and started his college career at the University of Auburn. As a true freshman against his eventual team, the Oregon Ducks, and current starting Chargers Quarterback Justin Herbert, Bo was able to lead his Auburn Tigers to a comeback win and cement himself as the “Guy” on campus. That very same season, he was able to topple Alabama in the Iron Bowl and cement himself in Auburn History. Nix would spend the first three seasons of his collegiate career with the Tigers upon transferring westward to the University of Swag, Oregon University. Nix’s game appeared to mature along the way throughout his career. After some injuries in his final year at Auburn, Nix’s rushing averages went down and his passing numbers went up. Having never surpassed 2500 yards at Auburn, in his final two seasons at Oregon, he put up an eye-popping 7,700 yards and 69 touchdowns while remaining a rushing threat. Early in his college career, I believed him to be nothing but a Sam Ehlinger clone, and that still may be what he ultimately ends up being. Yet the playstyle maturity arc, efficiency, size, and dual-threat ability keep me coming back. Five QBs in this class going in the first round sounds asinine to me, but it’s a Quarterback league. I would project Nix to go somewhere in the mid-third round, or maybe sooner, but I’ve seen countless mock drafts of him going late first.

With Nix there is a lot to like, but the issue with him is as follows: there is a lot to like but not a lot to love. I don’t necessarily see any “elite” traits so to speak, so it’s hard to say that he will come in and make a crazy splash. What I can say for certain is that he does a lot of good things and he does them well. If Nix were to land in a system with an aging QB, and some electric weapons around him, he very well could be an excellent NFL player. If I had to single one specific trait about Nix that I would like to highlight, I would probably lean into his ability to extend plays with his legs. Nix does a very solid job on tape of making plays outside the pocket, and in today’s NFL, that is something teams value deeply. The days of pocket statues are all but behind us, especially with the emergence of bigger and better athletes bolstering defensive lines. I would love to see the Jets take Nix potentially in the second or third round as they plan to move on from Zach Wilson. Keeping Aaron Rodgers in the driver’s seat, but taking another shot at a QB, would allow him to start from square one. This is easier, and more desirable, than making it work with an ex that you’ve had 9 public break-ups with.

Ceiling Player Comp: Baker Mayfield
Ideal Landing Spot: New York Jets

The Flex Factor | Week 14

Figuring out your flex spots can be the difference between winning and losing your weekly matchup. In this weekly series presented by Flex Fantasy, we’ll look at sleeper running backs and wide receivers outside the consensus top 50 who should be locked in your lineups.

Jayden Reed

The rookie WR has already been a solid WR3 in PPR throughout the season and now is primed for a large workload with the impending absence of Christian Watson. He faces a Giants team that has been mid against the pass and Jordan Love keeps proving haters wrong. Fire up Reed with confidence in your high-leverage matchups this week.

Brandin Cooks

The Archer has been cooking over the past 7 weeks with a top 36 finish 5 times in that span. Dak and the Boys are scorching hot and enter a big time matchup against their NFC East rivals who have been torched by the pass. Cooks is going deep for a big score in this one.

Keaton Mitchell

Another rookie makes his way into the must-flex plays this week. The Ravens backfield has been a committee but Mitchell has another gear that the other backs don’t possess. With the chance to break any play loose for 15 points, you want to keep him in your lineups fro that explosive playmaking. He’s been getting more volume and share of the team’s snaps over the past month so the team may be looking to ride the hot hand down the stretch.

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Shaping Your Roster | Fantasy Football Waiver Wire – Week 14

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It is the final week of this series; I hope it has helped you along the way. I certainly have learned a lot and am excited to keep providing advice where possible. I will keep trying to get better. Thanks for returning to The Undroppables for all your fantasy football advice!

QUARTERBACKS

Matthew Stafford (Los Angeles Rams)

Yahoo – 54% Rostered
ESPN – 32% Rostered
Sleeper – 51% Rostered

Coming off back-to-back weeks of 3 or more touchdowns, Matthew Stafford looks like he is finding the endzone regularly again. His Week 14 matchup isn’t great, but the playoffs of the Washington Commanders, the New Orleans Saints, and then the New York Giants means Stafford might be winning some people their championships.

Joe Flacco (Cleveland Browns)

Yahoo – 5% Rostered
ESPN – 2% Rostered
Sleeper – 7% Rostered

What a crazy year. Is Joe Flacco back to being a top quarterback on the week? Pending finishing for Monday night, Joe is at QB11 during the week. Nice playoff schedule with the Chicago Bears, the Houston Texans, and the ultimate revenge game against the New York Jets. I’m in!

RUNNING BACKS

Ezekiel Elliott (New England Patriots)

Yahoo – 40% Rostered
ESPN – 34% Rostered
Sleeper – 46% Rostered

With Rhamondre going to be out for some time with an ankle injury, Ezekiel becomes the primary back in one of the worst offenses we have ever seen. We are desperate to add some depth; you can do much worse, so pick up Zeke.

Tyjae Spears (Tennessee Titans)

Yahoo – 35% Rostered
ESPN – 32% Rostered
Sleeper – 45% Rostered

Another injury that helped open opportunities was Tyjae Spears stepping up after Derrick Henry went down with a concussion. He will probably miss one game at the least, and the Miami Dolphins are next on the schedule. Look for dump-offs and yards for Spears.

WIDE RECEIVERS

Elijah Moore (Cleveland Browns)

Yahoo – 43% Rostered
ESPN – 34% Rostered
Sleeper – 49% Rostered

I feel like I keep writing about him, and I know he is so close to being a breakout. He has his best games with Joe Flacco, and Amari Cooper might be dealing with some injuries. Moore had 12 targets last week; watch him continue to see the same volume with Flacco airing it out.

Jonathan Mingo (Carolina Panthers)

Yahoo – 6% Rostered
ESPN – 12% Rostered
Sleeper – 17% Rostered

Mingo’s usage has increased recently, and it’s led to some fantasy relevance. Two weeks in a row of 60+ yards, and last week had ten targets. It might be an excellent depth option or FLEX play if you need someone after an injury during your championship run.

TIGHT ENDS

Chigoziem Okonkwo (Tennessee Titans)

Yahoo – 31% Rostered
ESPN – 26% Rostered
Sleeper – 29% Rostered

The games will not be more accessible for the Titans; we are looking at more and more passing volume from their end. Chig is a significant benefactor of this inc ease. I would ride out the rest of the season if you need someone in the position.